Boston is getting late pretty early


Rejoice, world, because the Red Sox are bad.
Picture: Getty Images

The Red Sox won 92 last season and advanced to the ALCS. Although they had significant offseason turnovers in the offseason, including free agency losses to Eduardo Rodriguez, Kyle Schwarber and Hunter Renfro, Boston also added Michael Wacha and Rich Hill to the rotation, allowing Jackie Bradley Jr. to return to the outfield. And he signed Trevor Story to make the fourth-best-scoring lineup in the American League even more dangerous last year.

With a salary of $250 million, Sox was a clear contender in the difficult American League East. Or it turns out I’m not sure.

According to the Baseball Reference, Boston Possibility of qualifying for playoffs – This year’s extended playoffs (including 3 wildcards) are now 12.6%. That doesn’t even compare to the Rockies (12.5%), who are widely known to have no chance, and much lower than even an A (21.4%) not trying.

Why is it so terrifying even though it’s an early season of 31 games in a 162 game season? That’s the depth of the hole Boston dug. The odds are not based solely on the current record. Now two games ahead of the Red Sox, Orioles get a 0.2% chance that’s still too high in October baseball. Boston still have a good team, but it will be nearly impossible for the Red Sox to recover from a terrible start.

Actually, it’s not a scary start. Boston opened the gate 6-5 with a 3-2 record at Yankee Stadium, but split a four-game set with the Twins after leading the series to a victory in Detroit. are you okay. After a 2-1 win over the Blue Jays at Fenway on April 19th and surpassing 0.500 for the first and only time of the season (tie 1), the wheel is completely off. Boston are on a five-game unbeaten streak, but haven’t had a win streak since mid-game in the Twins Series.

Orlando Arcia’s walk-off home run in Atlanta on Wednesday night has dropped the Sox to 5-15 over the past three weeks, and their overall record is 11-20, meaning Boston will need to play at 97 win speed to get 90. do. rest of the season. An almost impossible but unbalanced schedule includes New York, Tampa Bay and Toronto on a level of difficulty… well, against the Orioles it’s unbalanced.

Story finally hit his first home run in a Red Sox jersey on Wednesday, striking out 37 and .206/.281/.304 in 102 at-bats. You might think the easiest rowing to leave Coors Field is to go to a pinball machine at Fenway Park, but Story also hit 45 at 8 at home with a 21K.

For his career, Story is .299/.365/.592 at home and .241/.311/.438 at home. DJ LeMahieu has shown that he can’t be a Coors creation with the Yankees, and his career split is equally drastic after spending four years in Colorado.little league ballpark“In the Bronx.

Story isn’t the first free agent (especially the first free agent to sign late) to have a shaky start with his new club. So what excuse…

  • C Christian Vazquez: .215/.274/.292, 1 hour
  • 1st baseman Bobby Dalbek: .148/.231/.222, 1 hour
  • LF Alex Verdugou: .216/.260/.333, 3 hours
  • CF Enrique Hernandez: .161/.232/.259, 1HR
  • RF Jackie Bradley Jr.: .198/.270/.286, 0 ​​​HR

Boston has the fourth lowest score in the American League’s fourth most runs, and the pitcher is pretty miserable with both Hill and Wacha injured. He provided 34 home runs and threw 3.4 walks per 9 innings.

And while some struggling Sox will recover, Boston leading Xander Bogaerts and Rafael Devers won’t be so hot all year round. Their situation would be miserable. It’s early days, but Boston will already have a long summer to catch up with so many good teams as they’re already 11 games in the lead and 5.5 games in the playoffs. It’s already too far away.

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