NBA Choice, Best Choice: Lean on Heat, Suns win Thursday and advance to the Conference Finals.

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Now with the start of the 2021-22 NBA regular season, the basketball betting market is hotter than ever. CBS Sports will be offering daily picks during the postseason. Sam Quinn will have at least one pick for every game between now and the NBA Finals. All lines were powered by Caesar Sportsbook.

Recommended games | Philadelphia 76ers vs. Miami Heat

I hate oversimplification, but much of this series has come down to shooting differences. The Sixers shot 6 of 34 and 8 of 30 in a 3-point range in their first two games and lost as expected. Heat shot 7 of 30 and 7 of 35 in the next 2, and lost both. Game 5 came closest to the shooting balance we’ve seen so far, with Heat about 11 percentage points better than the Sixers. The truth of the series is that either team can get mad and steal the next game or two, but Joel Embiid is still not close to 100% and James Harden proving a breakout in Game 4 is more than the rules of Game 5. that it is exceptional. , it would be safer to lean on the number 1 seed with the score and assume that Jimmy Butler could continue to be the best player in the series and top the hit in a more general game. Choice: Hit +2

Recommended games | Dallas Mavericks v Phoenix Suns

Hey, speaking of outliers, Chris Paul didn’t commit any fouls or 6 turnovers in the class. When that doesn’t happen, the best teams in the NBA can handle the 4th seed with relative comfort. We now have three games of evidence to back up that fact. If you want to bet on some of the weirder things happening in Dallas, be my guest. But I’m going to follow Phoenix’s 64-18 record, assuming we won’t get any more outrageous outliers like we did in games 3 and 4. . Choice: Suns -2

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